Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 15.818996 17.892370 20.080638 22.556839 25.275445 28.163722 31.458645
2025-02-02 13.949160 17.020044 20.456151 24.563725 29.317166 34.621512 40.963668
2025-02-09 12.085210 15.807793 20.199189 25.709304 32.381930 40.142881 49.789773
2025-02-16 10.178534 14.234883 19.266134 25.869430 34.202666 44.259828 57.193792
2025-02-23 8.440248 12.601335 18.018295 25.436220 35.162165 47.301601 63.397257
2025-03-02 7.113572 11.305424 17.017264 25.152359 36.195472 50.399768 69.747160
2025-03-09 6.164459 10.387539 16.390101 25.249830 37.655661 54.041303 76.889169
2025-03-16 5.279811 9.432463 15.586064 24.988606 38.550694 56.916877 83.092538
2025-03-23 4.899274 9.190779 15.772905 26.117469 41.397683 62.505208 93.109535
2025-03-30 4.370242 8.635089 15.417457 26.392456 43.003848 66.416333 100.954481
2025-04-06 3.692049 7.732289 14.420546 25.593730 42.955219 67.955386 105.515840
2025-04-13 3.087976 6.867725 13.386064 24.629215 42.559742 68.927381 109.251394
2025-04-20 2.901102 6.756382 13.614433 25.729705 45.426004 74.839121 120.404169
2025-04-27 2.900568 7.002467 14.476405 27.923455 50.105970 83.617857 136.036328
2025-05-04 2.749845 6.930055 14.766296 29.170984 53.339754 90.344611 148.873214
2025-05-11 2.464120 6.538868 14.439939 29.334549 54.823522 94.458086 157.950594
2025-05-18 2.133017 5.997023 13.774953 28.846578 55.194364 96.848945 164.489459
2025-05-25 1.864142 5.547086 13.234287 28.527357 55.807055 99.610657 171.646585
2025-06-01 1.672347 5.242769 12.944555 28.632456 57.122013 103.499055 180.616804
2025-06-08 1.466171 4.866236 12.466200 28.341439 57.721974 106.241514 187.859957
2025-06-15 1.413293 4.871977 12.785987 29.590258 61.072255 113.543417 202.462850
2025-06-22 1.288270 4.665240 12.628459 29.893930 62.743559 118.132592 212.868598
2025-06-29 1.091612 4.221620 11.901046 29.009558 62.215087 119.041078 217.385529